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Analyse — Projections qc125.com vs résultats officiels Élections Québec 2026

Projections de qc125.com (extraction du 2026-10-06 04:31) confrontées aux résultats officiels finaux de l’élection générale du 2026-10-05 (source : Élections Québec). 127 circonscriptions · 5 grands partis : PQ, PLQ, PCQ, CAQ, QS · « Autres » = tous les autres partis (agrégés, suivis globalement).

Aucune circonscription ne correspond à la recherche.

Provincial — projections vs résultats officiels

PQ
Proj moy 29,4 % → Off moy 28,3 %
Δ -1,11 pts
Off pondérée (votes) : 28,02 %
MAE : 3,76 pts · max : Abitibi-Ouest
Dans la marge : 106/127 (83,5 %)
PLQ
Proj moy 24,9 % → Off moy 25,0 %
Δ +0,09 pts
Off pondérée (votes) : 24,22 %
MAE : 3,20 pts · max : Lac-Saint-Jean
Dans la marge : 104/127 (81,9 %)
PCQ
Proj moy 18,8 % → Off moy 19,5 %
Δ +0,67 pts
Off pondérée (votes) : 20,66 %
MAE : 3,49 pts · max : Lotbinière-Frontenac
Dans la marge : 105/127 (82,7 %)
CAQ
Proj moy 15,3 % → Off moy 13,0 %
Δ -2,30 pts
Off pondérée (votes) : 13,34 %
MAE : 3,71 pts · max : Jonquière
Dans la marge : 86/127 (67,7 %)
QS
Proj moy 11,1 % → Off moy 12,8 %
Δ +1,76 pts
Off pondérée (votes) : 12,43 %
MAE : 2,94 pts · max : Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Dans la marge : 94/127 (74,0 %)

Sièges — projeté vs officiel

PartiProjeté (1re force unique)OfficielΔ
PQ6059-1
PLQ3740+3
PCQ1819+1
CAQ000
QS990
Total124127—

Égalités parfaites au sommet des projections (comptées à part, hors des 124 sièges projetés) : 3 — Louis-Hébert · Maurice-Richard · Richmond.

PCQ — détail

Sièges officiels PCQ : 19 · Meneur projeté unique : 18 · Égalités au sommet impliquant le PCQ : 1

Sous-performance — 15 pires écarts (diff le plus négatif)

#CirconscriptionProjOffDiffMargeDans la margeCandidat PCQGagnant officiel
1Chicoutimi28,018,34-9,66±7,0nonGabriella-Myriam MathieuMarie-Karlynn Laflamme
2Pontiac18,011,26-6,74±6,0nonOsmar Llanos MartinezAndré Fortin
3Acadie15,09,27-5,73±5,0nonAmine DifallahAndré Albert Morin
4Taschereau17,011,51-5,49±5,0nonEliot Estévez-VervilleÉtienne Grandmont
5Notre-Dame-de-Grâce13,07,94-5,06±5,0nonGuillaume St-PierreDésirée McGraw
6Chomedey23,018,04-4,96±7,0ouiLéo DestafanianMadeleine Féquière
7Saint-Laurent17,012,34-4,66±5,0ouiBarry RolbinValérie Assouline
8Jeanne-Mance–Viger14,09,60-4,40±5,0ouiShakib SaadFilomena Rotiroti
9Hull15,010,65-4,35±5,0ouiAnne-Marie CouturierSacha Cannon
10Jean-Talon20,015,66-4,34±6,0ouiJesse RobitailleJulie White
11Îles-de-la-Madeleine7,02,66-4,34±5,0ouiEvan LeblancJoël Arseneau
12Marguerite-Bourgeoys16,011,69-4,31±5,0ouiSean RossMichel Leblanc
13Jacques-Cartier15,010,79-4,21±5,0ouiPina Di DioGregory Kelley
14Nelligan19,014,90-4,10±6,0ouiGary CharlesMonsef Derraji
15Mont-Royal–Outremont13,09,05-3,95±5,0ouiYaron AvskerMichelle Setlakwe

Sur-performance — 15 meilleurs écarts (diff le plus positif)

#CirconscriptionProjOffDiffMargeDans la margeCandidat PCQGagnant officiel
1Lotbinière-Frontenac42,054,39+12,39±8,0nonRenaud LabrecqueRenaud Labrecque
2Bellechasse52,063,84+11,84±8,0nonÉric DuhaimeÉric Duhaime
3Terrebonne4,015,51+11,51±2,0nonMarianne PoirierCatherine Gentilcore
4Montmorency35,043,63+8,63±7,0nonMarie-Josée HélieMarie-Josée Hélie
5Dubuc20,028,43+8,43±6,0nonCatherine MorissetteÉmile Simard
6Rousseau20,027,95+7,95±6,0nonMarie-Ève BoucherMathieu Lebrun
7Beauce-Nord54,061,86+7,86±8,0ouiPatricia DrouinPatricia Drouin
8Portneuf44,051,58+7,58±8,0ouiMarcel BouchardMarcel Bouchard
9Côte-du-Sud35,042,34+7,34±8,0ouiFrédéric PoulinFrédéric Poulin
10Nicolet-Bécancour34,041,21+7,21±8,0ouiGuillaume LangloisGuillaume Langlois
11La Peltrie41,048,17+7,17±7,0nonMaïté Blanchette VézinaMaïté Blanchette Vézina
12Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré32,038,99+6,99±7,0ouiCaroline SimardCaroline Simard
13Huntingdon19,025,55+6,55±6,0nonChantal DauphinaisFrédéric Laplante
14Saint-Jean10,016,44+6,44±4,0nonLuc SanfaçonGaétan Bédard
15Richelieu12,018,35+6,35±4,0nonChristian BlouinJocelyn Desjardins

Gagne officiellement sans être meneur projeté (1)

CirconscriptionProjOffDiffMargeDans la margeCandidat PCQGagnant officiel
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré32,038,99+6,99±7,0ouiCaroline SimardCaroline Simard

Meneur projeté mais perdu officiellement (1)

CirconscriptionProjOffDiffMargeDans la margeCandidat PCQGagnant officiel
Drummond–Bois-Francs33,029,41-3,59±7,0ouiMyriam CournoyerCharles Page

Vue d'ensemble — meneurs changés et plus grands écarts

Circonscriptions dont le meneur change (8/127)

CirconscriptionMeneur projetéGagnant officielDiff du gagnant
Charlevoix–Côte-de-BeaupréPQPCOQ+6,99
Drummond–Bois-FrancsPCQPQ-0,33
HuntingdonPLQPQ+7,48
Jean-TalonPQPLQ/QLP+4,76
La PrairiePQPLQ/QLP+9,01
MontarvillePQPLQ/QLP+6,65
PapineauPLQPQ+6,17
VachonPQPLQ/QLP+5,52

Top 10 des plus grands écarts |diff| (127 circonscriptions × 5 partis)

#PartiCirconscriptionProjOffDiff
1QSHochelaga-Maisonneuve35,052,01+17,01
2QSGouin47,062,62+15,62
3QSMercier44,059,20+15,20
4QSLaurier-Dorion37,050,66+13,66
5CAQJonquière20,033,34+13,34
6PLQLac-Saint-Jean22,09,06-12,94
7PLQBourassa-Sauvé60,047,43-12,57
8PCQLotbinière-Frontenac42,054,39+12,39
9CAQRousseau25,012,71-12,29
10CAQTerrebonne27,014,91-12,09

Partis autres que les 5 grands (« Autres ») : 1,32 % des votes valides (pondéré sur les 127 circonscriptions).

Toutes les circonscriptions (127)

CirconscriptionVille(s)Meneur projetéGagnant officielPQPLQPCQCAQQS
Abitibi-EstLac-Bleu, Val-CarmePQStéphane Tremblay (PQ)29,0 → 34,65 (+5,65)28,0 → 20,68 (-7,32)19,0 → 22,20 (+3,20)14,0 → 12,46 (-1,54)9,0 → 9,42 (+0,42)
Abitibi-OuestVal-d'Or, Rouyn-NorandaPQSébastien D'Astous (PQ)38,0 → 49,59 (+11,59)14,0 → 8,18 (-5,82)17,0 → 18,10 (+1,10)20,0 → 15,36 (-4,64)11,0 → 8,77 (-2,23)
AcadieBrossard, NewarkPLQAndré Albert Morin (PLQ/QLP)12,0 → 13,11 (+1,11)59,0 → 49,46 (-9,54)15,0 → 9,27 (-5,73)4,0 → 5,48 (+1,48)10,0 → 19,63 (+9,63)
Anjou–Louis-RielMontréalPLQNicolas Plourde (PLQ/QLP)23,0 → 20,84 (-2,16)41,0 → 40,05 (-0,95)12,0 → 9,40 (-2,60)12,0 → 13,97 (+1,97)11,0 → 14,60 (+3,60)
ArgenteuilLachute, Masson-AngersPQPierre Nantel (PQ)37,0 → 33,14 (-3,86)23,0 → 25,61 (+2,61)19,0 → 20,12 (+1,12)14,0 → 11,45 (-2,55)6,0 → 6,96 (+0,96)
Arthabaska-L'ÉrableVictoriaville, PrincevillePCQTarek Henoud (PCOQ)37,0 → 32,73 (-4,27)9,0 → 7,55 (-1,45)38,0 → 40,55 (+2,55)10,0 → 13,30 (+3,30)6,0 → 5,04 (-0,96)
Beauce-NordSaint-Bruno, Saint-ÉliePCQPatricia Drouin (PCOQ)19,0 → 12,17 (-6,83)9,0 → 15,18 (+6,18)54,0 → 61,86 (+7,86)13,0 → 6,93 (-6,07)5,0 → 3,37 (-1,63)
Beauce-SudSaint-Georges, Saint-ClaudePCQJonathan Poulin (PCOQ)16,0 → 9,00 (-7,00)9,0 → 7,79 (-1,21)53,0 → 58,19 (+5,19)17,0 → 22,43 (+5,43)5,0 → 2,37 (-2,63)
BeauharnoisBeauharnois, SalaberryPQAlexandre Daneau (PQ)38,0 → 44,88 (+6,88)14,0 → 12,64 (-1,36)13,0 → 15,65 (+2,65)25,0 → 19,02 (-5,98)9,0 → 6,38 (-2,62)
BellechasseSaint-Raymond, Saint-HenriPCQÉric Duhaime (PCOQ)19,0 → 15,03 (-3,97)8,0 → 7,43 (-0,57)52,0 → 63,84 (+11,84)16,0 → 9,35 (-6,65)5,0 → 4,10 (-0,90)
BerthierL'Assomption, MascouchePQElsie Lefebvre (PQ)42,0 → 43,45 (+1,45)9,0 → 8,84 (-0,16)20,0 → 21,72 (+1,72)20,0 → 15,21 (-4,79)9,0 → 9,04 (+0,04)
BertrandRoxton, DollardPQAlexandre Girard-Duchaine (PQ)43,0 → 39,88 (-3,12)14,0 → 14,17 (+0,17)15,0 → 14,53 (-0,47)19,0 → 18,62 (-0,38)9,0 → 11,51 (+2,51)
BlainvilleBlainville, LavalPQNadine Le Gal (PQ)34,0 → 33,69 (-0,31)25,0 → 26,55 (+1,55)13,0 → 15,97 (+2,97)19,0 → 14,41 (-4,59)8,0 → 7,74 (-0,26)
BonaventureGaspé, CarletonPQPier-Luc Bujold (PQ)49,0 → 46,55 (-2,45)19,0 → 13,78 (-5,22)11,0 → 9,53 (-1,47)14,0 → 21,62 (+7,62)7,0 → 8,53 (+1,53)
BorduasChambly, BelœilPQCédric Gagnon-Ducharme (PQ)37,0 → 35,30 (-1,70)11,0 → 15,69 (+4,69)10,0 → 14,01 (+4,01)31,0 → 23,57 (-7,43)11,0 → 10,60 (-0,40)
Bourassa-SauvéMontréalPLQMadwa-Nika Cadet (PLQ/QLP)15,0 → 16,35 (+1,35)60,0 → 47,43 (-12,57)12,0 → 9,43 (-2,57)3,0 → 9,38 (+6,38)9,0 → 16,78 (+7,78)
Camille-LaurinMontréalPQPaul St-Pierre Plamondon (PQ)49,0 → 39,66 (-9,34)21,0 → 22,07 (+1,07)9,0 → 7,69 (-1,31)9,0 → 8,72 (-0,28)12,0 → 20,26 (+8,26)
Brome-MissisquoiSalaberry, CowansvillePLQFrédéric Beauchemin (PLQ/QLP)25,0 → 27,19 (+2,19)28,0 → 32,47 (+4,47)20,0 → 16,09 (-3,91)18,0 → 13,11 (-4,89)10,0 → 8,95 (-1,05)
ChamblyChambly, LongueuilPQJulie Guyot (PQ)37,0 → 34,28 (-2,72)14,0 → 19,24 (+5,24)12,0 → 14,56 (+2,56)27,0 → 18,87 (-8,13)11,0 → 11,13 (+0,13)
ChamplainSaint-Eustache, PincourtPCQAdriana Szalontai (PCOQ)30,0 → 28,85 (-1,15)14,0 → 15,03 (+1,03)31,0 → 29,29 (-1,71)18,0 → 17,04 (-0,96)7,0 → 6,64 (-0,36)
ChapleauVal-Carier, La SarrePLQMichel Langevin (PLQ/QLP)23,0 → 19,70 (-3,30)29,0 → 37,46 (+8,46)19,0 → 15,99 (-3,01)18,0 → 16,52 (-1,48)10,0 → 8,51 (-1,49)
CharlesbourgQuébec, CharlesbourgPCQÉloïse Coulombe (PCOQ)27,0 → 25,85 (-1,15)13,0 → 13,58 (+0,58)35,0 → 38,49 (+3,49)18,0 → 11,79 (-6,21)8,0 → 9,38 (+1,38)
Charlevoix–Côte-de-BeaupréBeaupré, Baie-Saint-PaulPQCaroline Simard (PCOQ)33,0 → 25,60 (-7,40)9,0 → 7,95 (-1,05)32,0 → 38,99 (+6,99)17,0 → 17,76 (+0,76)9,0 → 9,21 (+0,21)
ChâteauguayChâteauguay, Saint-LouisPLQFélix Rhéaume (PLQ/QLP)21,0 → 27,96 (+6,96)38,0 → 35,76 (-2,24)16,0 → 12,32 (-3,68)16,0 → 13,51 (-2,49)8,0 → 8,80 (+0,80)
ChauveauPortneuf, Sainte-CatherinePCQKarim Elayoubi (PCOQ)22,0 → 20,60 (-1,40)11,0 → 12,64 (+1,64)42,0 → 47,98 (+5,98)18,0 → 9,69 (-8,31)7,0 → 8,39 (+1,39)
ChicoutimiChicoutimi, SaguenayPQMarie-Karlynn Laflamme (PQ)39,0 → 39,39 (+0,39)10,0 → 14,64 (+4,64)28,0 → 18,34 (-9,66)15,0 → 16,46 (+1,46)7,0 → 9,85 (+2,85)
ChomedeyLavalPLQMadeleine Féquière (PLQ/QLP)12,0 → 13,26 (+1,26)52,0 → 45,17 (-6,83)23,0 → 18,04 (-4,96)8,0 → 8,89 (+0,89)5,0 → 10,29 (+5,29)
Chutes-de-la-ChaudièreLongueuil, BrossardPCQDominique Dumas (PCOQ)20,0 → 23,03 (+3,03)11,0 → 13,19 (+2,19)41,0 → 45,58 (+4,58)21,0 → 11,49 (-9,51)7,0 → 5,42 (-1,58)
Côte-du-SudMontmagny, Saint-HenriPCQFrédéric Poulin (PCOQ)30,0 → 23,91 (-6,09)11,0 → 11,08 (+0,08)35,0 → 42,34 (+7,34)17,0 → 16,97 (-0,03)7,0 → 5,70 (-1,30)
D'Arcy-McGeeMontréalPLQElisabeth Prass (PLQ/QLP)7,0 → 3,90 (-3,10)66,0 → 60,76 (-5,24)20,0 → 19,68 (-0,32)1,0 → 2,56 (+1,56)6,0 → 9,99 (+3,99)
Deux-MontagnesDeux-Montagnes, PincourtPQLinda Vaillant (PQ)37,0 → 36,42 (-0,58)23,0 → 22,35 (-0,65)12,0 → 15,04 (+3,04)20,0 → 14,38 (-5,62)8,0 → 11,11 (+3,11)
Drummond–Bois-FrancsDrummondvillePCQCharles Page (PQ)31,0 → 30,67 (-0,33)10,0 → 12,14 (+2,14)33,0 → 29,41 (-3,59)17,0 → 19,44 (+2,44)8,0 → 6,95 (-1,05)
DubucRouyn-NorandaPQÉmile Simard (PQ)44,0 → 38,63 (-5,37)8,0 → 11,35 (+3,35)20,0 → 28,43 (+8,43)20,0 → 14,36 (-5,64)7,0 → 6,50 (-0,50)
DuplessisArvida, JonquièrePQMeggie Richard (PQ)36,0 → 47,14 (+11,14)15,0 → 5,40 (-9,60)21,0 → 19,53 (-1,47)21,0 → 22,74 (+1,74)6,0 → 4,92 (-1,08)
FabreLavalPLQMarie Claude Fournier (PLQ/QLP)20,0 → 19,80 (-0,20)39,0 → 42,74 (+3,74)18,0 → 17,27 (-0,73)16,0 → 8,86 (-7,14)6,0 → 9,77 (+3,77)
GaspéGaspé, Carleton-sur-MerPQMéganne Perry Mélançon (PQ)50,0 → 58,84 (+8,84)18,0 → 12,74 (-5,26)11,0 → 7,59 (-3,41)14,0 → 13,44 (-0,56)6,0 → 7,39 (+1,39)
GatineauGatineauPLQDavid Logue (PLQ/QLP)22,0 → 22,27 (+0,27)34,0 → 41,67 (+7,67)20,0 → 16,89 (-3,11)15,0 → 10,69 (-4,31)8,0 → 7,78 (-0,22)
GouinMontréalQSAlexandre Boulerice (QS)23,0 → 16,15 (-6,85)19,0 → 12,81 (-6,19)5,0 → 3,43 (-1,57)6,0 → 3,06 (-2,94)47,0 → 62,62 (+15,62)
GranbyGranby, SalaberryPQJean-François Arsenault (PQ)32,0 → 32,95 (+0,95)12,0 → 18,89 (+6,89)20,0 → 17,44 (-2,56)24,0 → 20,65 (-3,35)11,0 → 9,12 (-1,88)
GroulxLavalPQMarie-Claude Sarrazin (PQ)33,0 → 32,17 (-0,83)25,0 → 23,62 (-1,38)11,0 → 14,47 (+3,47)21,0 → 17,73 (-3,27)9,0 → 11,10 (+2,10)
Hochelaga-MaisonneuveMontréalQSAlexandre Leduc (QS)33,0 → 24,70 (-8,30)17,0 → 12,27 (-4,73)7,0 → 4,60 (-2,40)7,0 → 4,36 (-2,64)35,0 → 52,01 (+17,01)
HullGatineauPLQSacha Cannon (PLQ/QLP)19,0 → 16,90 (-2,10)41,0 → 42,41 (+1,41)15,0 → 10,65 (-4,35)12,0 → 11,74 (-0,26)13,0 → 17,75 (+4,75)
HuntingdonHuntingdon, BeauharnoisPLQFrédéric Laplante (PQ)23,0 → 30,48 (+7,48)31,0 → 25,64 (-5,36)19,0 → 25,55 (+6,55)17,0 → 12,13 (-4,87)9,0 → 5,60 (-3,40)
IbervilleIberville, BrossardPQCamille Pellerin-Forget (PQ)32,0 → 35,51 (+3,51)12,0 → 12,89 (+0,89)21,0 → 22,13 (+1,13)25,0 → 18,82 (-6,18)10,0 → 8,59 (-1,41)
Îles-de-la-MadeleineLes ÎlesPQJoël Arseneau (PQ)58,0 → 66,54 (+8,54)19,0 → 20,51 (+1,51)7,0 → 2,66 (-4,34)10,0 → 4,34 (-5,66)5,0 → 4,44 (-0,56)
Jacques-CartierQuébec, Sainte-FoyPLQGregory Kelley (PLQ/QLP)6,0 → 4,33 (-1,67)73,0 → 73,21 (+0,21)15,0 → 10,79 (-4,21)1,0 → 2,87 (+1,87)4,0 → 5,53 (+1,53)
Jean-LesageQuébecQSSol Zanetti (QS)27,0 → 21,09 (-5,91)11,0 → 9,06 (-1,94)25,0 → 23,65 (-1,35)8,0 → 9,36 (+1,36)28,0 → 35,67 (+7,67)
Jean-TalonQuébec, CharlesbourgPQJulie White (PLQ/QLP)32,0 → 29,26 (-2,74)27,0 → 31,76 (+4,76)20,0 → 15,66 (-4,34)9,0 → 8,18 (-0,82)12,0 → 14,11 (+2,11)
Jeanne-Mance–VigerMontréalPLQFilomena Rotiroti (PLQ/QLP)14,0 → 8,81 (-5,19)58,0 → 63,65 (+5,65)14,0 → 9,60 (-4,40)6,0 → 4,44 (-1,56)7,0 → 12,21 (+5,21)
JohnsonThetford Mines, Sainte-CécilePQNathalie Boisclair (PQ)30,0 → 34,70 (+4,70)11,0 → 16,75 (+5,75)28,0 → 24,87 (-3,13)21,0 → 14,98 (-6,02)10,0 → 8,69 (-1,31)
JolietteJoliette, RepentignyPQVéronique Venne (PQ)52,0 → 45,04 (-6,96)7,0 → 9,26 (+2,26)14,0 → 17,50 (+3,50)20,0 → 17,72 (-2,28)7,0 → 8,68 (+1,68)
JonquièreSaguenay, JonquièrePQJimmy Bouchard (PQ)44,0 → 36,34 (-7,66)8,0 → 5,36 (-2,64)20,0 → 17,16 (-2,84)20,0 → 33,34 (+13,34)8,0 → 7,28 (-0,72)
L'AssomptionL'Assomption, RepentignyPQMaxime Laporte (PQ)38,0 → 41,10 (+3,10)14,0 → 13,52 (-0,48)12,0 → 18,27 (+6,27)25,0 → 16,84 (-8,16)10,0 → 9,46 (-0,54)
La PeltrieSainte-Foy, QuébecPCQMaïté Blanchette Vézina (PCOQ)19,0 → 18,85 (-0,15)18,0 → 15,70 (-2,30)41,0 → 48,17 (+7,17)15,0 → 9,17 (-5,83)6,0 → 7,11 (+1,11)
La PinièreLaval, Sainte-RosePLQLinda Caron (PLQ/QLP)20,0 → 14,42 (-5,58)49,0 → 50,05 (+1,05)13,0 → 12,29 (-0,71)10,0 → 9,78 (-0,22)7,0 → 11,17 (+4,17)
La PrairieLa Prairie, BouchervillePQSonia Ziadé (PLQ/QLP)34,0 → 29,24 (-4,76)22,0 → 31,01 (+9,01)12,0 → 13,61 (+1,61)21,0 → 16,60 (-4,40)10,0 → 8,84 (-1,16)
LabelleSaint-Jovite, Mont-LaurierPQCatherine Drouin (PQ)46,0 → 39,85 (-6,15)11,0 → 12,30 (+1,30)15,0 → 18,97 (+3,97)19,0 → 18,97 (-0,03)8,0 → 8,13 (+0,13)
Lac-Saint-JeanLa Malbaie, Saint-FidèlePQWilliam Fradette (PQ)39,0 → 45,61 (+6,61)22,0 → 9,06 (-12,94)20,0 → 22,30 (+2,30)13,0 → 15,17 (+2,17)5,0 → 6,81 (+1,81)
LaFontaineMontréalPLQMarc Tanguay (PLQ/QLP)12,0 → 10,49 (-1,51)60,0 → 58,86 (-1,14)16,0 → 13,51 (-2,49)4,0 → 5,98 (+1,98)6,0 → 9,67 (+3,67)
LaporteVaudreuil, Sainte-AnnePLQDavid Bowles (PLQ/QLP)22,0 → 21,74 (-0,26)43,0 → 42,89 (-0,11)9,0 → 9,18 (+0,18)15,0 → 9,32 (-5,68)10,0 → 14,76 (+4,76)
Laurier-DorionMontréalQSAndrés Fontecilla (QS)15,0 → 12,14 (-2,86)36,0 → 27,92 (-8,08)8,0 → 4,45 (-3,55)3,0 → 2,44 (-0,56)37,0 → 50,66 (+13,66)
Laval-des-RapidesLavalPLQCaroline De Guire (PLQ/QLP)24,0 → 22,69 (-1,31)36,0 → 36,38 (+0,38)13,0 → 11,76 (-1,24)18,0 → 11,72 (-6,28)8,0 → 16,14 (+8,14)
Laviolette-Saint-MauriceTrois-Rivières, MaskinongéPQÉlodie Murphy-Gauthier (PQ)30,0 → 31,35 (+1,35)14,0 → 17,09 (+3,09)29,0 → 27,40 (-1,60)19,0 → 15,64 (-3,36)7,0 → 6,83 (-0,17)
Les PlainesLavalPQDieudonné Ella Oyono (PQ)39,0 → 38,98 (-0,02)15,0 → 16,41 (+1,41)16,0 → 21,08 (+5,08)21,0 → 12,60 (-8,40)8,0 → 8,69 (+0,69)
LévisLévis, Sainte-CatherinePCQKarine Laflamme (PCOQ)23,0 → 22,24 (-0,76)11,0 → 13,48 (+2,48)35,0 → 38,53 (+3,53)22,0 → 17,13 (-4,87)7,0 → 7,88 (+0,88)
Lotbinière-FrontenacLotbinière, Sainte-MariePCQRenaud Labrecque (PCOQ)23,0 → 18,42 (-4,58)13,0 → 12,81 (-0,19)42,0 → 54,39 (+12,39)16,0 → 9,42 (-6,58)6,0 → 4,14 (-1,86)
Louis-HébertQuébec, BeauportPQ = PCQ (à égalité)Marcos Archambault (PCOQ)29,0 → 26,66 (-2,34)17,0 → 22,77 (+5,77)29,0 → 29,01 (+0,01)16,0 → 13,04 (-2,96)9,0 → 7,96 (-1,04)
Marguerite-BourgeoysLavalPLQMichel Leblanc (PLQ/QLP)12,0 → 15,25 (+3,25)62,0 → 52,62 (-9,38)16,0 → 11,69 (-4,31)3,0 → 6,95 (+3,95)7,0 → 12,19 (+5,19)
Marie-VictorinSaint-Hyacinthe, BrossardPQNicolas Marceau (PQ)42,0 → 33,34 (-8,66)17,0 → 20,29 (+3,29)9,0 → 10,26 (+1,26)17,0 → 13,48 (-3,52)15,0 → 20,94 (+5,94)
MarquetteMontréalPLQEnrico Ciccone (PLQ/QLP)13,0 → 14,67 (+1,67)62,0 → 55,29 (-6,71)14,0 → 10,31 (-3,69)4,0 → 6,72 (+2,72)7,0 → 10,59 (+3,59)
MaskinongéMaskinongé, Saint-FélicienPQIsabelle Blais (PQ)34,0 → 31,96 (-2,04)12,0 → 13,26 (+1,26)25,0 → 27,04 (+2,04)21,0 → 19,67 (-1,33)7,0 → 6,81 (-0,19)
MassonMasson-Angers, LachutePQStéphane Handfield (PQ)40,0 → 40,20 (+0,20)17,0 → 18,48 (+1,48)11,0 → 17,30 (+6,30)24,0 → 15,50 (-8,50)8,0 → 8,52 (+0,52)
Matane-MatapédiaMatane, Rivière-du-LoupPQPascal Bérubé (PQ)71,0 → 67,83 (-3,17)5,0 → 6,76 (+1,76)12,0 → 13,25 (+1,25)6,0 → 6,60 (+0,60)5,0 → 4,61 (-0,39)
Maurice-RichardMontréalPQ = PLQ (à égalité)Nada Boumeftah (PLQ/QLP)29,0 → 24,69 (-4,31)29,0 → 31,07 (+2,07)7,0 → 5,42 (-1,58)8,0 → 8,11 (+0,11)27,0 → 30,09 (+3,09)
MéganticSaint-Armand, CoaticookPCQJimmy Gagnon (PCOQ)28,0 → 24,98 (-3,02)18,0 → 12,12 (-5,88)30,0 → 34,29 (+4,29)16,0 → 20,04 (+4,04)8,0 → 7,06 (-0,94)
MercierMontréalQSRuba Ghazal (QS)21,0 → 12,55 (-8,45)25,0 → 19,44 (-5,56)6,0 → 3,34 (-2,66)3,0 → 3,25 (+0,25)44,0 → 59,20 (+15,20)
Mille-ÎlesLaval, RepentignyPLQVirginie Dufour (PLQ/QLP)23,0 → 21,68 (-1,32)41,0 → 44,29 (+3,29)13,0 → 12,63 (-0,37)15,0 → 9,49 (-5,51)7,0 → 11,50 (+4,50)
MirabelMirabel, LavalPQGeneviève Couture (PQ)37,0 → 39,81 (+2,81)14,0 → 16,03 (+2,03)15,0 → 21,10 (+6,10)25,0 → 14,39 (-10,61)8,0 → 7,75 (-0,25)
Mont-Royal–OutremontMontréalPLQMichelle Setlakwe (PLQ/QLP)16,0 → 11,76 (-4,24)49,0 → 50,88 (+1,88)13,0 → 9,05 (-3,95)7,0 → 5,26 (-1,74)14,0 → 20,81 (+6,81)
MontarvilleMercier, Saint-BrunoPQMathieu Lavoie (PLQ/QLP)34,0 → 28,86 (-5,14)23,0 → 29,65 (+6,65)8,0 → 8,47 (+0,47)24,0 → 19,94 (-4,06)12,0 → 11,70 (-0,30)
MontmorencyQuébec, LimoilouPCQMarie-Josée Hélie (PCOQ)23,0 → 22,45 (-0,55)15,0 → 11,62 (-3,38)35,0 → 43,63 (+8,63)18,0 → 12,80 (-5,20)9,0 → 8,72 (-0,28)
NelliganMontréalPLQMonsef Derraji (PLQ/QLP)8,0 → 7,47 (-0,53)67,0 → 63,25 (-3,75)19,0 → 14,90 (-4,10)1,0 → 4,85 (+3,85)4,0 → 6,71 (+2,71)
Nicolet-BécancourNicolet, BécancourPCQGuillaume Langlois (PCOQ)31,0 → 28,80 (-2,20)9,0 → 7,99 (-1,01)34,0 → 41,21 (+7,21)20,0 → 16,35 (-3,65)6,0 → 4,47 (-1,53)
Notre-Dame-de-GrâceMontréalPLQDésirée McGraw (PLQ/QLP)9,0 → 5,92 (-3,08)67,0 → 61,06 (-5,94)13,0 → 7,94 (-5,06)1,0 → 2,86 (+1,86)9,0 → 17,77 (+8,77)
OrfordSherbrooke, MagogPLQCharles Milliard (PLQ/QLP)22,0 → 25,04 (+3,04)33,0 → 37,80 (+4,80)16,0 → 13,83 (-2,17)17,0 → 11,89 (-5,11)11,0 → 9,68 (-1,32)
PapineauMontréal, HullPLQIsabelle Millette (PQ)24,0 → 30,17 (+6,17)26,0 → 28,67 (+2,67)23,0 → 21,97 (-1,03)19,0 → 11,24 (-7,76)9,0 → 7,08 (-1,92)
Pointe-aux-TremblesMontréalPQStéphane Paquet (PQ)43,0 → 38,08 (-4,92)19,0 → 17,67 (-1,33)11,0 → 11,64 (+0,64)16,0 → 18,66 (+2,66)11,0 → 12,71 (+1,71)
PontiacPontiac, GatineauPLQAndré Fortin (PLQ/QLP)12,0 → 10,94 (-1,06)56,0 → 61,08 (+5,08)18,0 → 11,26 (-6,74)8,0 → 5,55 (-2,45)6,0 → 9,82 (+3,82)
PortneufPortneuf, Sainte-CatherinePCQMarcel Bouchard (PCOQ)23,0 → 15,51 (-7,49)9,0 → 7,57 (-1,43)44,0 → 51,58 (+7,58)18,0 → 17,84 (-0,16)7,0 → 6,53 (-0,47)
PrévostPrévost, MirabelPQAnne Nguyen (PQ)41,0 → 38,61 (-2,39)15,0 → 15,76 (+0,76)17,0 → 19,54 (+2,54)17,0 → 17,47 (+0,47)9,0 → 8,18 (-0,82)
René-LévesqueTrois-Rivières, Saint-HyacinthePQOdette Lavigne (PQ)41,0 → 50,72 (+9,72)9,0 → 4,84 (-4,16)17,0 → 13,69 (-3,31)26,0 → 17,31 (-8,69)6,0 → 7,35 (+1,35)
RepentignyRepentigny, LavalPQNicolas Girard (PQ)39,0 → 36,21 (-2,79)17,0 → 18,73 (+1,73)9,0 → 12,79 (+3,79)25,0 → 21,70 (-3,30)8,0 → 9,75 (+1,75)
RichelieuRichelieu, Saint-HyacinthePQJocelyn Desjardins (PQ)46,0 → 41,26 (-4,74)11,0 → 10,72 (-0,28)12,0 → 18,35 (+6,35)23,0 → 21,49 (-1,51)7,0 → 6,79 (-0,21)
RichmondRichmond, WindsorPQ = PLQ (à égalité)Bernard Sévigny (PQ)24,0 → 29,19 (+5,19)24,0 → 22,77 (-1,23)23,0 → 22,90 (-0,10)15,0 → 13,27 (-1,73)14,0 → 10,57 (-3,43)
RimouskiRimouski, Saint-BarnabéPQYohann St-Pierre (PQ)48,0 → 43,35 (-4,65)9,0 → 9,46 (+0,46)11,0 → 13,21 (+2,21)17,0 → 17,71 (+0,71)15,0 → 15,04 (+0,04)
Rivière-du-Loup–TémiscouataRivière-du-Loup, TémiscouataPQAriane Boyer (PQ)39,0 → 35,29 (-3,71)10,0 → 14,37 (+4,37)19,0 → 23,00 (+4,00)21,0 → 19,69 (-1,31)10,0 → 6,74 (-3,26)
Robert-BaldwinMontréalPLQBrigitte Garceau (PLQ/QLP)6,0 → 4,91 (-1,09)70,0 → 65,05 (-4,95)18,0 → 15,14 (-2,86)1,0 → 3,37 (+2,37)4,0 → 8,80 (+4,80)
RobervalRoberval, Saint-FélicienPQIsabelle Thibeault (PQ)43,0 → 36,53 (-6,47)12,0 → 13,42 (+1,42)21,0 → 26,07 (+5,07)19,0 → 18,69 (-0,31)6,0 → 5,29 (-0,71)
RosemontMontréalQSGisèle Pouhe Njall (QS)31,0 → 27,92 (-3,08)23,0 → 19,87 (-3,13)7,0 → 5,18 (-1,82)8,0 → 6,83 (-1,17)32,0 → 39,22 (+7,22)
RousseauMontréalPQMathieu Lebrun (PQ)40,0 → 44,07 (+4,07)7,0 → 8,12 (+1,12)20,0 → 27,95 (+7,95)25,0 → 12,71 (-12,29)8,0 → 7,15 (-0,85)
Rouyn-Noranda–TémiscamingueRouyn-Noranda, TémiscaminguePQDiane Dallaire (PQ)36,0 → 36,62 (+0,62)12,0 → 11,35 (-0,65)15,0 → 18,29 (+3,29)17,0 → 18,71 (+1,71)19,0 → 14,12 (-4,88)
Saint-FrançoisSherbrooke, MagogPQSylvie Tanguay (PQ)29,0 → 26,03 (-2,97)21,0 → 23,86 (+2,86)18,0 → 17,73 (-0,27)13,0 → 16,67 (+3,67)18,0 → 14,52 (-3,48)
Saint-Henri–Sainte-AnneMontréalPLQBenoit Clermont (PLQ/QLP)14,0 → 13,13 (-0,87)36,0 → 36,96 (+0,96)8,0 → 7,29 (-0,71)6,0 → 4,33 (-1,67)35,0 → 36,85 (+1,85)
Saint-HyacintheSaint-Hyacinthe, BrossardPQSimon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay (PQ)39,0 → 39,07 (+0,07)13,0 → 15,95 (+2,95)16,0 → 17,78 (+1,78)21,0 → 17,39 (-3,61)9,0 → 8,83 (-0,17)
Saint-JeanSaint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, Saint-HyacinthePQGaétan Bédard (PQ)42,0 → 35,62 (-6,38)20,0 → 18,70 (-1,30)10,0 → 16,44 (+6,44)18,0 → 16,90 (-1,10)9,0 → 10,43 (+1,43)
Saint-JérômeSaint-Jérôme, LavalPQSandrine Michon (PQ)41,0 → 39,50 (-1,50)12,0 → 13,12 (+1,12)17,0 → 18,13 (+1,13)20,0 → 16,49 (-3,51)10,0 → 11,71 (+1,71)
Saint-LaurentMontréalPLQValérie Assouline (PLQ/QLP)13,0 → 8,39 (-4,61)56,0 → 54,45 (-1,55)17,0 → 12,34 (-4,66)7,0 → 4,65 (-2,35)7,0 → 16,54 (+9,54)
Sainte-Marie–Saint-JacquesMontréalQSRoxane Milot (QS)25,0 → 19,97 (-5,03)22,0 → 25,40 (+3,40)6,0 → 4,48 (-1,52)7,0 → 4,20 (-2,80)40,0 → 43,15 (+3,15)
Sainte-RoseLavalPLQCécile Tremblay (PLQ/QLP)21,0 → 23,94 (+2,94)36,0 → 37,30 (+1,30)14,0 → 13,32 (-0,68)21,0 → 12,88 (-8,12)7,0 → 11,57 (+4,57)
SanguinetVaudreuil-Dion, Sainte-AnnePQAlain Therrien (PQ)39,0 → 41,59 (+2,59)18,0 → 19,06 (+1,06)16,0 → 15,62 (-0,38)19,0 → 14,32 (-4,68)8,0 → 8,98 (+0,98)
SherbrookeSherbrooke, MagogQSStéphanie Vachon (QS)27,0 → 24,05 (-2,95)21,0 → 25,78 (+4,78)12,0 → 10,32 (-1,68)11,0 → 10,86 (-0,14)28,0 → 27,22 (-0,78)
SoulangesVaudreuil, Sainte-AnnePLQOlivier Bertin-Mahieux (PLQ/QLP)20,0 → 25,36 (+5,36)36,0 → 35,51 (-0,49)18,0 → 17,70 (-0,30)18,0 → 13,85 (-4,15)7,0 → 6,03 (-0,97)
TaillonSainte-Catherine, BrossardPQSandra Hernández (PQ)41,0 → 32,11 (-8,89)23,0 → 26,31 (+3,31)8,0 → 10,20 (+2,20)17,0 → 15,48 (-1,52)10,0 → 14,98 (+4,98)
TaschereauQuébec, LimoilouQSÉtienne Grandmont (QS)29,0 → 25,25 (-3,75)16,0 → 14,02 (-1,98)17,0 → 11,51 (-5,49)8,0 → 6,61 (-1,39)30,0 → 41,77 (+11,77)
TerrebonneTerrebonne, LavalPQCatherine Gentilcore (PQ)45,0 → 39,51 (-5,49)16,0 → 19,85 (+3,85)4,0 → 15,51 (+11,51)27,0 → 14,91 (-12,09)8,0 → 9,44 (+1,44)
Trois-RivièresTrois-Rivières, Saint-HyacinthePQJean Pellerin (PQ)28,0 → 27,10 (-0,90)16,0 → 16,68 (+0,68)22,0 → 18,08 (-3,92)24,0 → 25,76 (+1,76)10,0 → 11,21 (+1,21)
UngavaBaie-James, WaskaganishPQSonia Caron (PQ)28,0 → 39,51 (+11,51)27,0 → 27,54 (+0,54)13,0 → 17,26 (+4,26)17,0 → 10,30 (-6,70)15,0 → 5,39 (-9,61)
VachonSaint-Hyacinthe, BrossardPQAffine Lwalalika (PLQ/QLP)37,0 → 27,50 (-9,50)22,0 → 27,52 (+5,52)12,0 → 13,03 (+1,03)19,0 → 20,82 (+1,82)10,0 → 10,41 (+0,41)
Vanier-Les-RivièresMontréalPCQPatrick Paquet (PCOQ)24,0 → 23,86 (-0,14)14,0 → 16,85 (+2,85)35,0 → 36,97 (+1,97)18,0 → 12,83 (-5,17)8,0 → 8,36 (+0,36)
VaudreuilVaudreuil-Dion, Sainte-AnnePLQJames Hughes (PLQ/QLP)19,0 → 19,86 (+0,86)45,0 → 46,75 (+1,75)18,0 → 14,22 (-3,78)11,0 → 10,61 (-0,39)6,0 → 7,29 (+1,29)
VerchèresVerchères, Saint-HyacinthePQGuy Jr Lapointe (PQ)44,0 → 39,90 (-4,10)12,0 → 15,21 (+3,21)9,0 → 14,71 (+5,71)24,0 → 17,82 (-6,18)10,0 → 11,62 (+1,62)
VerdunMontréalPLQAntoine Dionne-Charest (PLQ/QLP)15,0 → 13,82 (-1,18)38,0 → 37,77 (-0,23)9,0 → 5,96 (-3,04)7,0 → 5,13 (-1,87)30,0 → 35,60 (+5,60)
ViauMontréalPLQFrantz Benjamin (PLQ/QLP)16,0 → 14,12 (-1,88)45,0 → 42,45 (-2,55)9,0 → 7,06 (-1,94)4,0 → 4,77 (+0,77)25,0 → 28,61 (+3,61)
VimontLavalPLQLouis Ialenti (PLQ/QLP)22,0 → 21,17 (-0,83)38,0 → 42,62 (+4,62)15,0 → 12,60 (-2,40)18,0 → 12,59 (-5,41)7,0 → 9,72 (+2,72)
Westmount–Saint-LouisWestmount, MontréalPLQJennifer Maccarone (PLQ/QLP)10,0 → 7,42 (-2,58)66,0 → 59,89 (-6,11)13,0 → 10,23 (-2,77)3,0 → 3,36 (+0,36)8,0 → 15,37 (+7,37)
BellefeuillePQAudrey Bujold (PQ)37,0 → 41,59 (+4,59)14,0 → 14,46 (+0,46)20,0 → 23,52 (+3,52)19,0 → 12,30 (-6,70)10,0 → 8,14 (-1,86)
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-LajoiePQNatalie Bisaillon (PQ)31,0 → 36,14 (+5,14)12,0 → 14,72 (+2,72)30,0 → 27,30 (-2,70)18,0 → 13,71 (-4,29)9,0 → 6,90 (-2,10)